thedecline

Fiscal Strategy: cut taxes, increase spending

Federal Government Subtotal Costs, FY2023–FY2025

Agency FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 3-yr trend
Health & Human Services $1,714.4B $1,737.2B $1,885.8B ↑ steady growth
Social Security Admin. $1,432.8B $1,530.2B $1,655.4B ↑ steady growth
Defense $914.0B $995.6B $995.4B ↑ leveled off
Net interest on debt $678.0B $909.1B $987.1B ↑ sharp, consistent rise
Veterans Affairs $896.5B $509.7B $566.4B ↓↑ normalized after '23
Treasury (dept.) $303.7B $222.3B $296.8B volatile
Agriculture $226.3B $203.1B $223.9B flat
Education $18.5B $191.7B ($77.6B)⁴ volatile — not actuarial
Office of Personnel Mgmt. $94.6B $115.8B $104.9B flat — actuarial noise removed
Transportation $106.7B $115.3B $128.6B ↑ steady growth
Homeland Security $95.6B $101.4B $123.6B ↑ steady growth
Energy $74.9B $75.5B $66.8B flat
Housing & Urban Dev. $67.3B $46.8B $71.4B volatile
Justice $47.9B $47.5B $48.5B flat
Labor $45.3B $40.6B $62.5B ↑ recent jump
State $35.6B $38.1B $31.7B flat
USAID $36.8B $23.4B $15.9B ↓ steady decline
Interior $26.5B $28.7B $30.5B ↑ mild growth
NASA $24.4B $24.5B $23.5B flat
Commerce $13.0B $15.5B $18.5B ↑ mild growth
EPA $11.9B $13.7B $37.0B ↑ sharp recent jump
Governmentwide subtotal $7,122.2B $7,119.3B $7,319.2B ↑ now trends up, not down

Notes

  • Basis: Figures are the Subtotal line (Gross Cost − Earned Revenue) from Treasury's Statements of Net Cost, an accrual measure — not the same as cash-basis outlays reported in the CBO/OMB budget documents. True cash-basis outlays would differ somewhat, especially for credit programs like student loans.
  • What was removed: The “(Gain)/Loss from Changes in Assumptions” column — the actuarial re-estimate of pension, OPEB, and veterans' benefit liabilities. That's what caused VA's $558.8B FY2023 spike and OPM's $180.4B FY2025 swing; both are gone from this table.
  • Governmentwide total: The total now shows the trend you'd expect — up each year — instead of the misleading decline in the prior net-cost table, which was purely an artifact of VA's one-time FY2023 actuarial loss.
  • Education: Education's negative FY2025 figure is not actuarial — Education had no actuarial adjustment in any of these three years (the “-” in that column). Its negative subtotal comes from credit reform accounting: gross cost includes downward re-estimates of expected student loan losses, which can push reported cost below zero in a given year even though cash is still going out the door. This is a separate accounting mechanism from the pension/benefits actuarial adjustments affecting VA and OPM.
  • Source: U.S. Treasury Bureau of the Fiscal Service, Statements of Net Cost, FY2023 (as originally reported), FY2024 (as originally reported), and FY2025 (as reported), fiscal.treasury.gov/accounting/us-financial-report. FY2024 figures shown here are as originally filed in the FY2024 report; a later restatement in the FY2025 report revised several entities (e.g., DoD, VA, Treasury) by small amounts.
  • Not shown: Entities with subtotal near zero or negative in all years (SEC, FDIC, Ex-Im Bank, TVA, etc.) and “All other entities,” which together account for roughly $20–50B/year and are omitted for readability.